Politics of transboundary haze in Southeast Asia
Seasonal haze has gone on for decades. I'm interested in digging into the politics of haze
Why has Indonesia not been able to stop illegal forest burning? Why has regional pressure not worked?
Here's one paper to start with, that found:
The study reveals a significant electoral cycle (a repeated pattern linked to elections) in forest fires. Both the number of ignitions and the area burned decline during election years. They then increase steeply in the year after elections. The authors argue that politicians may suppress forest burning when it could damage their electoral chances. After elections, those incentives weaken, allowing more burning for land conversion.
I find this somewhat encouraging -- as it suggests that forest burning can be reduced, when political incentives align.
The challenge is how to align incentives more permanently -- beyond the narrow pre-election period.